Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Categories

Podcast
general

Archives

2025
May
April
March
February
January

2024
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2023
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2022
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2021
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2020
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2019
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2018
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2017
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2016
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2015
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2014
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2013
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2012
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2011
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2010
December
November
October
September
August
July
June
May
April
March
February
January

2009
December
November
October
September
August
July
May
February

2008
November
October
June
March
February
January

2007
November
August
July
June

May 2025
S M T W T F S
     
        1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 12 13 14 15 16 17
18 19 20 21 22 23 24
25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Syndication

Investing With Business cycles - Per Wikipedia intervals of expansion followed by recession in economic activity. They have implications for the welfare of the broad population as well as for private institutions. Typically business cycles are measured by applying a band pass filter to a broad economic indicator such as Real Gross Domestic Production. Here important problems may arise with a commonly used filter called the "ideal filter". For instance if a series is a purely random process without any cycle, an "ideal" filter, better called a block filter, a spurious cycle is produced as output. 

Business cycle fluctuations are usually characterized by general upswings and downturns in a span of macroeconomic variables. The individual episodes of expansion/recession occur with changing duration and intensity over time. Typically their periodicity has a wide range from around 2 to 10 years (the technical phrase "stochastic cycle" is often used in statistics to describe this kind of process.) Such flexible knowledge about the frequency of business cycles can actually be included in their mathematical study, using a Bayesian statistical paradigm.

There are numerous sources of business cycle movements such as rapid and significant changes in the price of oil or variation in consumer sentiment that affects overall spending in the macroeconomy and thus investment and firms' profits. Usually such sources are unpredictable in advance and can be viewed as random "shocks" to the cyclical pattern. In past decades economists and statisticians have learned a great deal about business cycle fluctuations by researching the topic from various perspectives.

The WEALTH TRANSFER is happening FAST! Protect your financial future now!

** LIVE ORLANDO CONFERENCE ** Join us for Empowered Investor LIVE: https://www.EmpoweredInvestor.com

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Asset Protection, Tax Savings & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect 

What do Jason’s clients say? http://jasonhartmantestimonials.com

Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else  http://JasonHartman.com/Fund 

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit www.JasonHartman.com 

Guided Visualization for Investors: http://jasonhartman.com/visualization

Direct download: CW__AMA_1727_-_Part_Two_Live_QA_With_Jason_8_9_2021_3.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT