182: How to identify high probability markets - David Steets

David Steets from Systematic Individual Investor joins us to discuss how to map market probabilities and identify high probability markets using "edge stacking" techniques, including:

• The importance of mapping market probabilities,
• How to identify if something really contains an edge,
• Blending return probabilities across buckets to create a probability map,
• Classifying markets over multiple timeframes,
• How to confirm which edges are currently relevant,
• Using both technical and fundamental in models,
• The reliability of edges over time,
• Managing conflicting information and edges,
• Bear market signals, integrating discretion, weighting edges, VIX term structure, “anti-edges” and much more.

 

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