322: Housing Market Indicators, Home Price Appreciation, FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium Risks, Housing Shortage Proposed Solution, American Enterprise Institute, Tobias Peter Part 1

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Today Jason has a fascinating conversation with Tobias Peter, a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute Housing Center. Jason discovers that the housing shortage could be worse. Plus, Tobias talks about the one solution to the country’s shortage problem- the federal government’s non-participation in the housing sector. Because all throughout history of the government’s involvement, it has done so towards unintended negative consequences.

Key Takeaways:

Jason’s editorial

0:45 Welcome Tobias Peter

1:22 “How to lie with statistics” – US existing home sales

4:13 Sales volume: US existing home sales

4:51 Same chart, different starting point

5:39 One million starting point

7:46 100% Zero down financing webinar replay is coming soon and join our Empowered Mentoring program

Tobias Peter interview

8:40 AEI Housing Market Indicators (HMI) and Purchase activity outlook given headwinds

9:36 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA)

11:40 YOY Home Price Appreciation (HPA) by Metro (60 largest)

13:58 Geography is less meaningful than it’s ever been in human history

16:15 HPA: December 2023 and 2024 projections

17:56 The problem with the Case-Schiller Index

20:01 Housing inventory and month’s supply- we are far from a housing crash

22:43 A positive sign- from California

25:30 The infamous Coastal Commission in California

27:48 A quarter century of mortgage risk

28:31  FHA loans- setting minorities up for failure

30:41 We have a better alternative

Find Tobias at https://www.aei.org/centers/housing-center/

 

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