Feb 28, 2022
Marko Papic is the Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, where
he provides research on geopolitics, macroeconomics, and markets.
Marko recently published Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment
Framework for Predicting the Future, an imminently readable book
with colorful examples of political analysis. Marko’s approach is
akin to Moneyball for politics, challenging the orthodoxy of how
others traditionally make investment decisions.
Our conversation covers Marko’s upbringing, the flaws of most political analysis, and his constraints-based framework. We then turn to the obvious political topic at hand – next week’s U.S. Presidential election. We discuss his views of different possible outcomes on the U.S. equity market, rates, tech stocks, China, private equity, ESG, Europe, and emerging markets.